Weather & water

Rain, heat and the pond

Computer estimate weather for the weather-map square that covers the village, and how much water the fishing pond held through the dry season.

Last 13 months · all computer estimates

One wet season, a long dry one

NASA POWER (a free NASA weather estimate) puts June–October 2026 rain at about 1,402 mm, peaking in Sep 2026 (496 mm). 6 months had under 25 mm. The hottest month was Apr 2026 (average day high 38.7 °C). Open-Meteo (a free weather service) gives 1,708 mm rain over the period and the water that sun and wind pull from a crop (ET0) of about 1,599 mm a year. Estimate

Month	Rain mm (NASA)	Day high °C	Night low °C	Rain mm (Open-Meteo)	Crop water need mm (Open-Meteo)
Oct 2025	256	26.4	20.3	238	102
Nov 2025	3	23.8	13.2	3	113
Dec 2025	1	21.9	10.1	10	107
Jan 2026	0	24.8	11.7	1	121
Feb 2026	4	29.7	15.1	7	130
Mar 2026	19	34.7	18.9	14	157
Apr 2026	18	38.7	23.6	24	161
May 2026	73	38.0	24.3	57	157
Jun 2026	140	33.3	24.3	154	130
Jul 2026	324	28.2	22.6	296	96
Aug 2026	246	27.9	22.4	300	106
Sep 2026	496	27.8	21.6	387	106
Oct 2026	196	28.1	20.3	218	113

The last month may be partial. NASA POWER works in ~50 km squares. Open-Meteo is a computer reconstruction of past weather (reanalysis, ~9–11 km squares). Use them for trends, not exact amounts. There is no rain gauge on the farm yet.

Rain and temperature chart — **How to read this:** blue bars are rain each day. The red line is the day high and the orange line the night low, in °C.Daily rain and temperature (computer estimate).

Chart of soil wetness and crop water need — **How to read this:** the blue line is wetness in the top 7 cm of soil, the orange line deeper down (28–100 cm). The grey line is how much water the sun and wind pull out each day. When grey is high and blue falls, the soil is drying.Estimated soil wetness and crop water need.

Water · observed

Fishing pond surface water

The pond held between 0.9 and 1.6 ha (about 2.2–4.0 acres) of open water (water score (NDWI), within 150 m) on every clear date from Nov 2025 to Jun 2026. The second water score (MNDWI) suggests about a 33% shrink from Dec–Jan to Mar–May. Seen by satellite Dry-season water (6 months under 25 mm of rain) is what matters for any winter (rabi) crop.

Pond water area — **How to read this:** each dot is one clear photo. Higher = more open water near the pond. The blue and orange lines are two versions of the water score. The big September spike is most likely wet fields or haze, not real pond growth.Water area within 150 m of the pond centre.